Bitcoin Price Shows Cautious Stability Amid Signs of Potential Volatility – Market Analysis – 2025-07-01

Market Analysis

Certainly! Here is a polished, professional English version of the provided Urdu crypto market introduction and analysis, rewritten naturally without literal translation:

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**Introduction**

Bitcoin’s price continues to trade within a key range, showing limited movement once again. Unlike the previous attempt, the failure to break above the 113,000 level this time has injected a cautious tone into the market. Against the backdrop of global financial developments and shifting government policies, today we provide a comprehensive overview of Bitcoin’s current status and explore the potential trends that could shape its near-term future.

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**Market Analysis**

Over the past few days, Bitcoin’s price has fluctuated between 107,000 and 108,000, struggling to surpass the liquidity cluster near 113,000. This has resulted in noticeable hesitation among traders. The 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has remained in a moderate range of 56 to 67, indicating neither strong bullish nor bearish momentum. Similarly, the 14-day Money Flow Index (MFI) has stayed between 40 and 48, suggesting a balanced capital inflow with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions.

Looking at the Bollinger Bands, the price is hovering near the middle band, with no significant expansion or contraction of the bands. This reflects a sideways or neutral market sentiment without directional conviction.

Examining moving averages, especially the Hull Moving Average (HMA), the average hovered around 108,043 on June 29 and 107,936 on June 30 — slightly above the current price level. This further confirms the absence of a clear uptrend or downtrend, indicating consolidation within a narrow range.

On the support front, the S1 level between 105,318 and 105,671 appears robust, while S2 and S3 ranges lie between 99,950 to 101,508 and 90,056 to 96,945, respectively. Should the current support break, the next strong support is expected within the S2 range. Resistance is observed at the R1 band, spanning 107,340 to 108,528, close to recent price action. Beyond this, the psychological resistance at 110,000 remains a significant long-term barrier.

Futures market data shows a financing rate of 0.000049 as of June 30 — positive but very weak — accompanied by a 3.16% increase in open interest. This suggests moderate market interest with potential for stabilization. The Fear and Greed Index stands at 66, reflecting moderate greed but far from extreme levels, thereby reducing the likelihood of sharp selling pressure in the short term.

On the macro side, mixed market sentiments stem from expected policy shifts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, increased government Bitcoin holdings, and easing tensions between Iran and Israel.

Overall, Bitcoin’s price remains stable within a critical range. The inability to clear 113,000 points to a neutral to slightly bearish stance, although strong support near 105,000 could prevent a significant downturn. Investors remain cautious amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties, which may cause short-term volatility. A close above 108,000 could pave the way for bullish momentum in the near term, whereas a drop toward 103,000 may signal bearish pressure.

Given the current environment, it is crucial to monitor the market closely to respond promptly to any sudden shifts.

Data Summary

• 1. Time:
  2025-07-01 – 00:00 UTC
• 2. Prices:
  Open: 108356.93000000
  High: 108789.99000000
  Low: 106733.33000000
  Close: 107146.50000000
• 3. Last 5 days’ closing prices:
  2025-06-26: 106947.06000000
  2025-06-27: 107047.59000000
  2025-06-28: 107296.79000000
  2025-06-29: 108356.93000000
  2025-06-30: 107146.50000000
• 4. Volume:
  BTC: 9754.1249
  USD: $1050407152.3451
• 5. Number of trades:
  1773485
• 6. Indicators:
  RSI: 56.4600
  MFI: 40.7600
  BB Upper: 110115.66000000
  BB Lower: 101740.70000000
  MACD: 586.31000000
  Signal: 310.42000000
  Histogram: 275.89000000
• 7. Moving Averages:
  SMA:
  7=107174.06000000
  14=105430.77000000
  21=105928.18000000
  30=105780.43000000
  50=105975.89000000
  100=97471.38000000
  200=96265.38000000

  EMA:

  7=106896.11000000
  14=106289.36000000
  21=106019.67000000
  30=105611.11000000
  50=104107.60000000
  100=100324.47000000
  200=94384.18000000

  HMA:

  7=107936.43000000
  14=108445.37000000
  21=107146.98000000
  30=105784.57000000
  50=105461.40000000
  100=109756.56000000
  200=106280.75000000
• 8. Supports:
  S1: 105671.73000000 – 105318.37000000
  S2: 101508.68000000 – 99950.77000000
  S3: 96945.63000000 – 90056.17000000
  S4: 87325.6 – 86310
• 9. Resistances:
  R1: 107340.58000000 – 108528.50000000
  R2: 111696.21000000 – 111980.00000000
• 10. Psychological Support:
  100000.00000000
• 11. Psychological Resistance:
  110000.00000000
• 12. Funding Rate:
  0.0049%
• 13. Open Interest:
  77916.5410
• 14. Fear & Greed Index:
  66 (Greed)

Disclaimer: This market analysis is generated by AI based on historical BTC data and sentiment indicators. Use it as a reference, not financial advice.