Short-Term Bitcoin Price Pressure and Emerging Trends in Cautious Investment – Market Analysis – 2025-11-13

Market Analysis

Bitcoin has recently struggled to surpass the significant milestone of 124,000, reflecting a slight market weakness and a cautious sentiment among investors. Despite the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts, Bitcoin’s price has not exhibited a notable upward momentum, suggesting the presence of short-term selling pressure.

An analysis of the past five days reveals considerable price volatility accompanied by unstable market sentiment. On November 8, Bitcoin opened at 103,339 and closed lower at 102,312, indicating a decline throughout the day. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 34.88, well below the neutral 50 level, signaling a bearish trend. Similarly, the Money Flow Index (MFI) hovered around 38, reflecting imbalance in buying and selling activity. The Fear & Greed Index registered at 20, pointing to a fearful market mood, though not an extreme level. Trading volume and the number of trades remained subdued, suggesting a lack of strong market interest.

The situation improved slightly on November 9 and 10, with prices reaching highs of 105,495 and 106,670 and closing at 104,722 and 106,011, respectively. The RSI climbed to 50.51, indicating moderate strength, while the MFI held steady near 38, implying limited capital inflow. The Fear & Greed Index showed marginal improvement, reflecting a slight easing of market apprehension. Notably, trading volume and activity increased, signaling renewed interest in Bitcoin. The Hull Moving Averages (HMA) for 7 and 14 days also pointed to positive momentum, particularly on November 10, when the 7-day HMA reached 105,418, close to the price, suggesting a potential short-term upward trend.

However, on November 11 and 12, Bitcoin faced renewed downward pressure, closing near 103,058 and 101,654. Both RSI and MFI declined, underscoring weakening momentum. The Fear & Greed Index remained low at 26 and 24, maintaining a cautious market stance. Volume and trade counts decreased, indicating lingering uncertainty. According to Bollinger Bands, the price moved toward the lower band, approaching an oversold condition, though it did not fully touch it. The 7-day and 14-day HMAs also trended downward, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook.

Regarding support and resistance levels, the zone between 101,508 and 99,950 is acting as the primary support (S1), close to recent prices. If this level is breached, the next support range (S2) lies between 96,945 and 90,056. Resistance is encountered between 103,261 and 104,550, which could hinder upward movement in the near term. Beyond that, the resistance zone (R2) ranges from 105,857 to 106,457, near previous highs. Psychological levels at 100,000 (support) and 110,000 (resistance) also play critical roles. Given the prevailing fear in the market, support levels may weaken, increasing the risk of further declines.

Overall, Bitcoin’s current outlook is dominated by short-term pressure and cautious sentiment, while medium- to long-term trends remain uncertain. Despite the Federal Reserve’s rate reductions, clear upward momentum has not materialized, reflecting investors’ prudence. Both technical indicators and market sentiment suggest that Bitcoin could move downward at any time, though strong support levels might help stabilize prices. Investors are advised to monitor developments closely and avoid hasty decisions.

Data Summary

• 1. Time:
  2025-11-13 – 00:00 UTC
• 2. Prices:
  Open: 103059.00000000
  High: 105333.33000000
  Low: 100813.59000000
  Close: 101654.37000000
• 8. Supports:
  S1: 101508.68000000 – 99950.77000000
  S2: 96945.63000000 – 90056.17000000
  S3: 89855.99000000 – 87325.59000000
  S4: 84474.7 – 83949.5
• 9. Resistances:
  R1: 103261.60000000 – 104550.33000000
  R2: 105857.99000000 – 106457.44000000
  R3: 108816.33000000 – 109450.07000000
  R4: 116789 – 117544
• 10. Psychological Support:
  100000.00000000
• 11. Psychological Resistance:
  110000.00000000
• 3. Last 5 days’ closing prices:
  2025-11-08: 102312.94000000
  2025-11-09: 104722.96000000
  2025-11-10: 106011.13000000
  2025-11-11: 103058.99000000
  2025-11-12: 101654.37000000
• 4. Volume:
  BTC: 20457.6391
  USD: $2108514405.2609
• 5. Number of trades:
  5314132
• 6. Indicators:
  RSI: 36.5100
  MFI: 37.6100
  BB Upper: 116021.36000000
  BB Lower: 98959.28000000
• 7. Moving Averages:
  SMA:
  7=103206.50000000
  14=105212.90000000
  21=107490.32000000
  30=107931.30000000
  50=111394.56000000
  100=112691.99000000
  200=109660.74000000

  EMA:

  7=103650.80000000
  14=105144.54000000
  21=106460.59000000
  30=107783.28000000
  50=109602.37000000
  100=110627.36000000
  200=107462.89000000

  HMA:

  7=103171.00000000
  14=102836.82000000
  21=101404.39000000
  30=102588.42000000
  50=104004.89000000
  100=108211.36000000
  200=112434.97000000
• 12. Funding Rate:
  0.0058%
• 13. Open Interest:
  85642.4650
• 14. Fear & Greed Index:
  24 (Extreme Fear)

Disclaimer: This market analysis is generated by AI based on historical BTC data and sentiment indicators. Use it as a reference, not financial advice.