Bitcoin Price Faces Continued Volatility: Signs of Correction and Critical Support Levels Under Review – Market Analysis – 2025-06-26

Market Analysis

Certainly! Here is a polished and professional English version of the provided Urdu introduction and analysis, rewritten naturally and without literal translation:

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**Introduction**

Bitcoin’s price has exhibited volatile and conflicting trends over the past few days, offering critical clues about the market’s potential direction. In today’s analysis, we will closely examine both the technical indicators and market sentiment behind these movements to better assess the likely momentum and key obstacles facing the price in the current environment.

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**Market Analysis**

Recently, Bitcoin tested the upper boundary of its long-term sideways trading range between 85,000 and 110,000 again. However, its failure to surpass the liquidity cluster around 113,000 triggered a pullback toward approximately 103,000. Data from the last five days reveals that prices have attempted to stabilize near the 21-day Bollinger Bands’ midpoint, yet pressure is mounting around the critical psychological support level of 100,000.

Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI) have signaled downward trends, indicating short-term weakness. Notably, on June 22, the RSI dropped to 25 while the MACD recorded a strongly negative reading (-504.43), reinforcing bearish sentiment. That said, a sudden price rebound beginning June 23, coupled with the RSI climbing to 62.88, suggests a mild recovery—likely a corrective rally or temporary relief rather than a sustained uptrend.

Trading volume and transaction activity have experienced fluctuation as well. On June 22, volume peaked near 28,746, coinciding with the price decline and reflecting intense bearish selling pressure. Conversely, despite declining volumes on June 23 and 24, the price managed to increase, hinting at a fragile but positive momentum. By June 25, a modest rise in volume and trades, alongside a MACD shift toward neutral-to-positive territory, may indicate buyers cautiously re-entering the market. However, this rebound remains tentative, as the resistance zone at 110,000 continues to pose a formidable barrier.

Regarding support and resistance levels, the immediate support range between 105,318 and 105,671 may provide short-term relief. Should this fail, the next key supports lie in ranges between 101,508–99,950 and further down at 96,945–90,056. The psychological 100,000 mark remains critical, especially with the Fear & Greed Index hovering near 66—signaling moderate greed in the market. This suggests that short-term buyers may quickly step in if prices dip sharply, although larger investors maintain a cautious stance.

On the upside, resistance levels from 109,434–110,797 and then 111,696–111,980 are significant zones where upward price advances could face renewed selling pressure.

From a broader perspective, statements by the U.S. Treasury Secretary have boosted expectations around the growth of stablecoins and the potential onset of a “super cycle” for Bitcoin, implying positive long-term implications. However, ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in monetary policies have exerted pressure on the market in the near term. Additionally, the CME gap above 92,000 presents a likely target for downward price correction as part of a natural technical adjustment.

The market’s Fear & Greed Index’s mid-range position, alongside slightly positive shifts in funding rates, indicate a market searching for equilibrium but lacking a definitive trend at this time.

In summary, Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects a complex and dynamic phase characterized by a tug-of-war between long-term support and resistance boundaries. While RSI and MFI point toward short-term vulnerability, positive shifts in the MACD and modest volume increases keep the possibility of a corrective bounce alive. Market sentiment and news flow remain cautiously optimistic for the long term, yet geopolitical and financial uncertainties warrant prudence in the short term. A decisive close above the 113,000 liquidity cluster would likely pave the way for further gains, whereas maintaining support near 103,000 and below will be crucial for price stability and potential recovery.

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Data Summary

• 1. Time:
  2025-06-26 – 00:00 UTC
• 2. Prices:
  Open: 106083.00000000
  High: 108135.30000000
  Low: 105808.03000000
  Close: 107340.58000000
• 3. Last 5 days’ closing prices:
  2025-06-21: 102120.01000000
  2025-06-22: 100963.87000000
  2025-06-23: 105333.93000000
  2025-06-24: 106083.00000000
  2025-06-25: 107340.58000000
• 4. Volume:
  BTC: 16701.1555
  USD: $1789545470.9463
• 5. Number of trades:
  2988892
• 6. Indicators:
  RSI: 62.8800
  MFI: 39.4700
  BB Upper: 110208.10000000
  BB Lower: 100748.39000000
  MACD: 7.74000000
  Signal: 39.59000000
  Histogram: -31.86000000
• 7. Moving Averages:
  SMA:
  7=104256.85000000
  14=104912.67000000
  21=105478.25000000
  30=105583.50000000
  50=105483.82000000
  100=96320.57000000
  200=96061.94000000

  EMA:

  7=105156.36000000
  14=105124.86000000
  21=105183.26000000
  30=104910.65000000
  50=103384.68000000
  100=99583.91000000
  200=93718.76000000

  HMA:

  7=107530.94000000
  14=104101.82000000
  21=103381.79000000
  30=104016.59000000
  50=104827.74000000
  100=110445.05000000
  200=104821.18000000
• 8. Supports:
  S1: 105671.73000000 – 105318.37000000
  S2: 101508.68000000 – 99950.77000000
  S3: 96945.63000000 – 90056.17000000
  S4: 87325.6 – 86310
• 9. Resistances:
  R1: 109434.79000000 – 110797.38000000
  R2: 111696.21000000 – 111980.00000000
• 10. Psychological Support:
  100000.00000000
• 11. Psychological Resistance:
  110000.00000000
• 12. Funding Rate:
  0.001% (Technically Positive)
• 13. Open Interest:
  75448.8990
• 14. Fear & Greed Index:
  66 (Greed)

Disclaimer: This market analysis is generated by AI based on historical BTC data and sentiment indicators. Use it as a reference, not financial advice.